Retail traders are repeating past mistakes over and over, analysis concludes as bulls smoke late BTC and ETH shorters.
Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to retake $21,000 on Oct. 29 as weekend trading began on a strong footing.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Dollar lurks as BTC price rebounds
The pair had seen a consolidatory phase ensue after its first trip to the $21,000 mark, the first time it had traded above $21,000 since Sep. 13.
The subsequent retracement was modest in character, Bitcoin not even testing $20,000 before reversing higher once more.
The end of the Wall Street trading week saw BTC price action follow United States equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index finishing Oct. 28 up 2.5% and 2.9%, respectively.
In his most recent Twitter update, popular trader and analyst Il Capo of Crypto maintained an existing theory over how short-term price action would unfold.
“Same same,” he summarized alongside a chart showing potential upside and downside target levels.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Il Capo of Crypto/ Twitter
A cautionary macro note came from fellow trader John Wick, who warned that the U.S. dollar may make a return to pressure risk assets.
“Now we watch to see if we get a green Dot breaking above the Track line there,” he commented on a chart of the U.S. dollar index (DXY).
“If so that’s a bad combo leading into Fed announcement Nov 2nd.”U.S. dollar index (DXY) annotated chart. Source: John Wick/ Twitter
Wick was referring to next week’s Federal Reserve announcement on interest rate hikes, these widely expected to match September’s 0.75% increase.
ETH liquidations keep coming
Seemingly still skeptical of bulls’ abilities to produce further gains, trader liquidations were once again mounting on the day.
Data from monitoring resource Coinglass showed shorts getting burned by the return to $21,000, with the tally for Oct. 29 totaling $95 million at the time of writing.
By contrast, the day prior had seen just $14 million of liquidated shorts, while Oct. 25 and 26 combined delivered $661 million.
BTC liquidations chart. Source: Coinglass
“Record shorts at the bottom, record liqudiations at the bottom. Follow the herd and get slaughtered.”
ETH short liquidations on Oct. 29 were already at $240 million at the time of writing and looked set to eclipse previous days’ totals.
ETH liquidations chart. Source: Coinglass
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