Inflation surprises keep coming, while the European central bank refuses to rule out even higher numbers in future.
Bitcoin (BTC) shifted higher on Aug. 18 as the latest data confirmed the European Union’s highest ever inflation.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Support and resistance close in on BTC spot price
With bulls seemingly on the back foot, the mood among analysts was naturally wary.
“BTC did break down from this huge rising channel/wedge everyone seems to be watching,” Daan Crypto Trades wrote in part of his latest Twitter update.
“23.8-24K will act as resistance. Break back in and this would be a big bear trap. Bearish rejection and we head down.”
Near-term support meanwhile came in the form of whale buy-ins at $22,800 and up, on-chain monitoring resource Whalemap argued.
Now just below Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average, the $22,800 zone should be the line in the sand to watch in the event of a market downturn.
“Back to square one,” the Whalemap team summarized alongside a chart showing the extent of hodled whale coins by price point.
“Whale accumulations at $23,400-$22,800 is still the closest support we have for Bitcoin (if we start falling).”Bitcoin whale wallet inflows annotated chart. Source: Whalemap/ Twitter
Inflation beats records
Macro triggers were clearly inflation-skewed on the day, with the EU’s 9.8% July print headlining.
The figure for July marked the bloc’s highest ever inflation reading, up from 9.6% year-on-year in June. For context, in July 2021, inflation was 2.5%.
“The lowest annual rates were registered in France, Malta (both 6.8%) and Finland (8.0%). The highest annual rates were recorded in Estonia (23.2%), Latvia (21.3%) and Lithuania (20.9%),” a report from Eurostat stated.
“Compared with June, annual inflation fell in six Member States, remained stable in three and rose in eighteen.”
In an interview with Reuters on Aug. 18, Isabel Schnabel, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), could not say with confidence that inflation had peaked.
“I would not exclude that, in the short run, inflation is going to increase further,” she said.
“But any projection is currently subject to high uncertainty. So it’s very difficult to predict when inflation is going to peak.”
The EU numbers came a day after the United Kingdom recorded the first double-digit inflation readings since the early 1980s.
This month, United States price growth appeared to be slowing, with the next inflation readout due on Sep. 13.
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