Recession fears mount as a 20% decline in the S&P 500 places stock in a bear market, increasing the chance that BTC and altcoins will make new lows.
Whoever coined the phrase “sell in May and go away” had brilliant insight and the performance of crypto and stock markets over the past three weeks has shown that the expression still rings true.
May 20 has seen a pan selloff across all asset classes, leaving traders with few options to escape the carnage as inflation concerns and rising interest rates continue to dominate the headlines.
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) taking on water below $29,000 and traders worry that losing this level will ensure a visit to the low $20,000s over the coming week.
BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
As reported by Cointelegraph, some analysts warn that BTC could possibility decline to $22,700 based on its historical price performance following a death cross.
Further evidence of muted expectations from traders can be found in the put/call ratio for BTC open interest, which hit a 12-month high of 0.72 on May 18 according to the cryptocurrency research firm Delphi Digital.
Bitcoin put/call ratio on open interest and volume. Source: Delphi Digital
Delphi Digital said,
“A high put/call ratio indicates that investors are speculating whether Bitcoin will continue to sell off, or it could mean investors are hedging their portfolios against a downward move.”
Stocks enter bear market territory
May 20 brought more pain to the traditional markets as the S&P 500 fell another 1.62%, marking a more than 20% decline from its January 2022 all-time high and further stoking recession fears. If the index manages to close the day down 20% from the all-time-high, that would officially put the benchmark index in bear market territory.
Performance of the major indices on May 20. Source: Yahoo Finance
The Nasdaq Composite and Dow have also seen significant losses amid the widespread weakness, with the Nasdaq losing 275 points for a 2.42% loss, while the Dow has fallen 362 points, marking a decline of 1.28%.
What’s bad for BTC is even worse for altcoins
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360
Altcoins also sold off sharply as BTC, Ether and stocks pulled back, reversing the gains seen earlier on the day.
The few bright spots were Ellipsis (EPS), Persistence (XPRT) and 0x (ZRX), which gained 30%, 13.92% and 12.34% respectively.
The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.234 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 44.6%.
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